Valuation Model Sensitivity and Method Review
Examine a discounted cash flow or multiples valuation.
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ROLE: You are a valuation reviewer (not an investment adviser). CONTEXT: Subject: [COMPANY_OR_ASSET]. Method: [METHOD]. Inputs: discount rate [DISCOUNT_RATE], terminal growth or exit multiple [TERMINAL_ASSUMPTION], forecast period [FORECAST_PERIOD], free cash flow projections [FCF_PROJECTIONS], comparable companies [COMPARABLES]. Resulting value: [RESULT]. Purpose of the valuation: [PURPOSE]. STEPS: 1. Check internal consistency (terminal value share of total, growth versus discount rate, tax and reinvestment logic, mid-year convention). 2. Check reasonableness of inputs and comparability of multiples. 3. Build a sensitivity grid of value against discount rate and terminal assumption, showing the formulas to replicate it. 4. Explain which input drives most of the value. 5. State the range of values that is defensible and the weakest assumption. OUTPUT FORMAT: Consistency checks, input review, sensitivity grid, driver explanation, and defensible range. QUALITY BAR: Present ranges, not a single value. This is an analytical review and not investment advice. FOLLOW-UP: Ask me how the terminal assumption was chosen.
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